The short and long-term impacts of government procurement on the bankruptcy rates of brazilian businesses

The variables used is as follow: i) The Dependent Variables are data from Brazilian MSEs (micro and small enterprises) or MLEs (medium and large enterprises) bankruptcy rates from 2005 to 2022; ii) The Exploratory Variable of Interest are data from government public procurement with MSEs and MLEs; iii) The Explanatory Variables of Control are Exchange = Real effective exchange rate index (exports), Inflation = The Extended Consumer Price Index (IPCA), Interest = Selic-Over interest rate (rate of interbank operations with a term of 1 day backed by federal public securities), Economy = Economic Activity Index (agriculture, industry and services) of the BCB (IBCBr) – seasonally adjusted, Simples = Temporal dummy representative of the effectiveness of the National Simple Taxation System, Crisis = Temporal dummy representative of the duration of the Brazilian economic crisis, and Pandemic = Temporal dummy representative of the duration of the COVID-19 pandemic.