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Data · dataset · 2026

Characterizing Sierra Nevada snowpack using variable-resolution CESM

Listed in National Center for Atmospheric Research

The location, timing, and intermittency of precipitation in California make the state integrally reliant on winter-season snowpack accumulation to maintain its economic and agricultural livelihood.

Description

Of particular concern is that winter-season snowpack has shown a net decline across the western United States over the past 50 years, resulting in major uncertainty in water-resource management heading into the next century.

Cutting-edge tools are available to help navigate and preemptively plan for these uncertainties. This paper uses a next-generation modeling technique--variable-resolution global climate modeling within the Community Earth System Model (VR-CESM)--at horizontal resolutions of 0.125° (14 km) and 0.25° (28 km). VR-CESM provides the means to include dynamically large-scale atmosphere-ocean drivers, to limit model bias, and to provide more accurate representations of regional topography while doing so in a more computationally efficient manner than can be achieved with conventional general circulation models.

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This paper validates VR-CESM at climatological and seasonal time scales for Sierra Nevada snowpack metrics by comparing them with the "Daymet," "Cal-Adapt," NARR, NCEP, and North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) reanalysis datasets, the MODIS remote sensing dataset, the SNOTEL observational dataset, a standard-practice global climate model (CESM), and a regional climate model (WRF Model) dataset. Overall, given California's complex terrain and intermittent precipitation and that both of the VR-CESM simulations were only constrained by prescribed sea surface temperatures and data on sea ice extent, a 0.68 centered Pearson product-moment correlation, a negative mean SWE bias of <7 mm, an interquartile range well within the values exhibited in the reanalysis datasets, and a mean December-February extent of snow cover that is within 7% of the expected MODIS value together make apparent the efficacy of the VR-CESM framework.

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Provenance · 1 source records, 10 field assertions
SourceKeyLast seenRaw
National Center for Atmospheric Researchae1714b8-b237-4c00-9c12-be38e2f4eef39 d agoJSON v1
FieldAssertionExtractorEvidence
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concepts[field].local:field:ocean-atmosphericmapping · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
concepts[method].local:method:climate-modelenrichment · data ucar edukeyword-concept-rules@1.0.0title+description (65%)
concepts[modality].local:modality:remote-sensingenrichment · data ucar edukeyword-concept-rules@1.0.0title+description (65%)
created_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
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publication_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
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