Data · dataset · 2026
Confidence Intervals for Forecast Verification
Listed in National Center for Atmospheric Research
The manuscript is an attempt to present in a single document the various types of confidence intervals, their assumptions, and other issues as they pertain to forecast verification applications.
Description
Confidence intervals can be categorized into parametric and nonparametric intervals. The most common parametric intervals are those based on the assumption of approximate normality.
Such intervals are discussed in detail for those verification statistics that use this approximation, in addition to details about the assumptions involved and how to check and account for the assumptions. Bootstrap intervals are also discussed. Of particular importance are the assumptions underlying the bootstrap procedure, which are frequently overlooked because of a miscommunication that the procedure has no assumptions.
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When the assumptions are met, or they are accounted for within the bootstrap procedure, then this approach can provide highly accurate intervals for most statistics of interest. The various bootstrap confidence intervals (along with their pros and cons) and bootstrap methods are described.
Links
Get the data
- Publisher page n2t.org/ark:/85065/d77d2tkr ↗
documentation · download · from data ucar edu
Where it is published
- data.ucar.edu /dataset/confidence-intervals-for-forecast-verification ↗
National Center for Atmospheric Research dataset page
landing page · from data ucar edu
Catalogue records · 1
- CKAN API data.ucar.edu/api/3/action/package_show?id=eaa2d381-3885-484e-a9ca-e4b0ea0f6… ↗
metadata API · from data ucar edu
Topics
Provenance · 1 source records, 8 field assertions
| Source | Key | Last seen | Raw |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Center for Atmospheric Research | eaa2d381-3885-484e-a9ca-e4b0ea0f6618 | 10 d ago | JSON v1 |
| Field | Assertion | Extractor | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmental | mapping · data ucar edu | connector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:mathematics-statistics | mapping · data ucar edu | connector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:ocean-atmospheric | mapping · data ucar edu | connector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0 | |
| created_date | source · data ucar edu | connector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0 | |
| description | source · data ucar edu | connector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0 | /notes |
| publication_date | source · data ucar edu | connector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0 | |
| title | source · data ucar edu | connector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0 | /title |
| updated_date | source · data ucar edu | connector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0 |