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Data · dataset · 2026

Update of upper level turbulence forecast by reducing unphysical components of topography in the numerical weather prediction model

Listed in National Center for Atmospheric Research

On 2 November 2015, unrealistically large areas of light-or-stronger turbulence were predicted by the WRF-RAP (Weather Research and Forecast Rapid Refresh)-based operational turbulence forecast system over the western U.S. mountainous regions, which were not supported by available observations.

Description

These areas are reduced by applying additional terrain averaging, which damps out the unphysical components of small-scale (similar to 2x) energy aloft induced by unfiltered topography in the initialization of the WRF model.

First, a control simulation with the same design of the WRF-RAP model shows that the large-scale atmospheric conditions are well simulated but predict strong turbulence over the western mountainous region. Four experiments with different levels of additional terrain smoothing are applied in the initialization of the model integrations, which significantly reduce spurious mountain-wave-like features, leading to better turbulence forecasts more consistent with the observed data.

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Inferred from text
Atmospheric sciences 69% · Simulation 75%
Provenance · 1 source records, 9 field assertions
SourceKeyLast seenRaw
National Center for Atmospheric Research257e0536-1889-4c88-809b-9c554d7c754710 d agoJSON v1
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concepts[field].local:field:ocean-atmosphericmapping · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
concepts[method].local:method:simulationenrichment · data ucar edukeyword-concept-rules@1.0.0title+description (75%)
created_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
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updated_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0