Table · dataset · 2026
<p>Composition of ENSACC and ENSTIME ensembles.</p>
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<div><p>Given the continuous increase in dataset sizes and the complexity of forecasting models, the trade-off between forecast accuracy and computational cost is emerging as an extremely relevant topic, especially in the context of ensemble learning for time series forecasting.
Description
To assess it, we evaluated ten base models and eight ensemble configurations across two large-scale retail datasets, considering both point and probabilistic accuracy under varying retraining frequencies.
We showed that ensembles consistently improve forecasting performance, particularly in probabilistic settings. However, these gains come at a substantial computational cost, especially for larger, accuracy-driven ensembles. We found that reducing retraining frequency significantly lowers costs, with minimal impact on accuracy, particularly for point forecasts.
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Moreover, efficiency-driven ensembles offer a strong balance, achieving competitive accuracy with considerably lower costs compared to accuracy-optimized combinations. Most importantly, small ensembles of two or three models are often sufficient to achieve near-optimal results. These findings provide practical guidelines for deploying scalable and cost-efficient forecasting systems, supporting the broader goals of sustainable artificial intelligence in forecasting.</p></div>
Links
Where it is published
- DOI doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0336281.t003 ↗
DOI / persistent id · from figshare com
Catalogue records · 1
- OAI-PMH record api.figshare.com/v2/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai%3Af… ↗
metadata API · from figshare com
Topics
Provenance · 6 source records, 18 field assertions
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| HKU DataHub · removed upstream | oai:figshare.com:article/34026517 | 13 d ago | JSON v1 |
| DaYta Ya Rona · removed upstream | oai:figshare.com:article/34026517 | 13 d ago | JSON v1 |
| figshare | oai:figshare.com:article/34026517 | 13 d ago | JSON v1 |
| Loughborough Research Repository · removed upstream | oai:figshare.com:article/34026517 | 12 d ago | JSON v1 |
| UP Research Data Repository · removed upstream | oai:figshare.com:article/34026517 | 12 d ago | JSON v1 |
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