Projected changes in rainfall extremes over West African cities under specific global warming levels using CORDEX and NEX-GDDP datasets

The projections from the CORDEX and NEX-GDDP ensembles were compared. Self-Organizing Map (SOM) analysis was used to classify the projected changes from the simulations into twelve groups, based on their characteristics. Both CORDEX and NEX-GDDP models perform well in simulating the frequency and intensities of daily rainfall characteristics for important parts of the domain.

However, substantial differences exist between the models and their relative performance varies with the indices. In all cases, NEX-GDDP outperforms CORDEX in stimulating the extreme indices. On the projections, CORDEX showed a wider spread than the NEX–GDDP for RTOT and vice versa for R97.5pTOT for all the GWLs.