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Data · dataset · 2026

Contributions of climate change and ENSO variability to future precipitation extremes over California

Listed in National Center for Atmospheric Research

The El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) affects the occurrence frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation through modulations of regional heat and moisture fluxes.

Description

California experiences particularly strong ENSO influences and models project different to its extreme precipitation. It remains unclear how diverse projections of future precipitation extremes relate to inter-model differences for those changing signals.

Here, we use "large ensemble" simulations with multiple climate models along with the Coupled Model Intercomparison

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Project

Phase 5 to investigate the range of precipitation extreme changes over California and the influences from ENSO-related teleconnections. We found that precipitation amount increases are much larger during El Nino relative to La Nina years, mainly caused by the differences in frequency of extreme events during different phases. The ENSO-driven effect is even larger than the overall climate change signal for the most extreme events, implying uncertainties from inter-model differences in ENSO-related SST variability for extreme precipitation changes.

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Catalogue records · 1

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Inferred from text
Climate change science 71%
Provenance · 1 source records, 8 field assertions
SourceKeyLast seenRaw
National Center for Atmospheric Research8b4afbc3-be1b-4562-89b9-a855c2c11d4110 d agoJSON v1
FieldAssertionExtractorEvidence
concepts[field].anzsrc:group:3702enrichment · data ucar edutaxonomy-embedding@1.1.0title+keywords+description (71%)
concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmentalmapping · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
concepts[field].local:field:ocean-atmosphericmapping · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
created_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
descriptionsource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0/notes
publication_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
titlesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0/title
updated_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0