Synthetic dataset and simulation code for 'A Mathematical Model for the Transmission of COVID-19 in Mindanao: Epidemic Prevention and Control Measures'

The manuscript formulates a nine-compartment deterministic ODE model for COVID-19 transmission in Mindanao, Philippines, with compartments susceptible (S), exposed (E), symptomatic infectious (I_s), asymptomatic infectious (I_a), isolated (Q), untested symptomatic (U_s), untested asymptomatic (U_a), hospitalized (H), and recovered (R), and force of infection lambda = beta*(I_s + theta*I_a)/N. Three intervention scenarios are simulated over a 300-day horizon: Scenario 1 (baseline, no control, R0 = 2.07), Scenario 2 (relaxed measures, Re = 1.44), and Scenario 3 (strict local-government prevention and control measures, Re = 0.86).

Because officially disaggregated daily case series for Mindanao were not publicly available for the study period, all parameter values are synthetic/calibrated so that the baseline scenario reproduces an unmitigated reproduction number consistent with early COVID-19 estimates. The calibration anchors are the July 26, 2020 situation reports of the Philippine Department of Health (DOH) and the World Health Organization (WHO), tabulated in data/calibration_anchors_DOH_WHO_2020-07-26.csv.