replication files for "Bullying to Settlement"

To answer this question, we focus on how bargaining strategies furnish information to disputing states, thereby shaping the likelihood of resolution. We theorize that the adoption of a coercive bullying strategy by at least one disputant will escalate the territorial dispute, a dynamic which in turn reveals critical strategic information about the disputants’ capabilities, resolve, and the costs of escalation.

These revelations foster mutual recognition and make claim resolution more likely. Conversely, the absence of bullying corresponds to tension de-escalation but yields limited information. Consequently, these conditions decrease the likelihood of claim resolution.