Assessment of observational evidence for direct convective hydration of the lower stratosphere

We have examined several hundred balloon-borne and airborne in situ measurements of lower stratospheric humidity in the tropics and northern midlatitudes. We find that the tropical lower stratospheric H2O enhancements above the background occur quite infrequently, and the height of the enhancements is within about 1 km of the cold-point tropopause.

Following Schwartz et al. (2013, doi.org/10.1002/grl.50421), we examine the anomalously high (above 8 ppmv) water vapor mixing ratios retrieved by the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) at 100- and 82-hPa pressure levels, and we determine their vertical location relative to the local tropopause based on both Global Forecast System (GFS) operational analysis and the ERA5 reanalysis temperature data. We find that essentially all of the >8-ppmv MLS water vapor measurements over the extratropical North American monsoon region are above the relatively low lapse-rate tropopause in the region, and most are above the local cold-point tropopause.