Increased climate response and Earth system sensitivity from CCSM4 to CESM2 in mid-pliocene simulations

Phase 2 (PlioMIP2). These simulations reveal amplified MP climate change relative to the preindustrial going from CCSM4 to CESM2, seen in global and polar averages of surface warming, sea ice reduction in both the Arctic and the Antarctic, and weakened Hadley circulation. The enhanced global mean warming arises from enhanced Earth system sensitivity (ESS) to not only CO(2)change but also changes in boundary conditions primarily from vegetation and ice sheets.

ESS is amplified by up to 70% in CCSM4 and up to 100% in CESM1.2 and CESM2 relative to the equilibrium climate sensitivity of respective models. Simulations disagree on several climate metrics. Different from CCSM4, both CESM1.2 and CESM2 show reduction of cloud cover, and weakened Walker circulation accompanied by an El Nino-like mean state of the tropical Pacific in MP simulations relative to the preindustrial.

This El Nino-like mean state is consistent with paleo-observational sea surface temperatures, suggesting an improvement upon CCSM4. The performances of MP simulations are assessed with a new compilation of observational MP sea surface temperature. The model-data comparison suggests that CCSM4 is not sensitivity enough to the MP forcings, but CESM2 is likely too sensitive, especially in the tropics.