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Imaging · dataset · 2019

Development and validation of a prediction model for identifying men with intermediate- or high-risk prostate cancer for whom bone imaging is unnecessary: a nation-wide population-based study

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<p><b>Objective:</b> To develop and validate a nomogram that identifies men for whom bone scan is unnecessary.</p> <p><b>Material and methods:</b> The study datasets were derived from the National Prostate Cancer Register (NPCR) of Sweden.

Description

All men in the NPCR ≤80 years of age who were diagnosed with intermediate- or high-risk prostate cancer and who had pretreatment bone imaging (<sup>99m</sup>Tc MDP scintigraphy, plain x-ray, computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, and/or positron emission tomography fused with computed tomography) were included.

Men diagnosed from 2015–2016 formed a development dataset and men diagnosed in 2017 formed a validation dataset. Outcome was metastasis on bone imaging as registered in NPCR. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop a nomogram.</p> <p><b>Results:</b> In the development dataset 482/5084 men (10%) had bone metastasis, the corresponding percentage in the validation dataset was 282/2554 (11%).

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Gleason grade group, clinical T stage, and prostate-specific antigen were included in the final model. Discrimination and calibration were satisfactory in both the development (AUC 0.80, 95% CI 0.78–0.82) and validation dataset (AUC 0.80, 95% CI, 0.77–0.82). Compared with using the EAU guidelines’ recommendation for selecting men for imaging, using the nomogram with a cut-off at 4% chance of bone metastasis, would have avoided imaging in 519/2068 men (25%) and miss bone metastasis in 10/519 (2%) men in the validation dataset.</p> <p><b>Conclusion:</b> By use of our nomogram, bone scans of men with prostate cancer can be avoided in a large proportion of men.</p>

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Inferred from text
Computed tomography 75% · Magnetic resonance imaging 75%
Provenance · 1 source records, 22 field assertions
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figshareoai:figshare.com:article/113286059 d agoJSON v1
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concepts[field].anzsrc:group:3108mapping · figshare comvocabulary-mapper@1.0.0keywords['Plant Biology']
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concepts[modality].local:modality:ctenrichment · figshare comkeyword-concept-rules@1.0.0title+description (75%)
concepts[modality].local:modality:imagingmapping · figshare comvocabulary-mapper@1.0.0keywords['imaging']
concepts[modality].local:modality:mrienrichment · figshare comkeyword-concept-rules@1.0.0title+description (75%)
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