Data · dataset · 2026
Rising temperatures, rising tensions: climate change and the risk of violent conflict in the Middle East
Listed in ZivaHub and Deakin Research Online and DMU Figshare — shown once because both records carry DOI 10.25446/oxford.33352533.v1
This report seeks to present a neutral analysis of the security threat of climate change in the Levant region over the next 40 years (to 2050), drawn from consultations and extensive interviews with experts from across the region's political and ethnic divides.
Description
The report makes three key points: 1. The legacy of conflict in the countries of the Levant undermines the ability of countries and communities in the region to adapt to climate change.
The history of hostility and mistrust in the region greatly complicates efforts to collaborate over shared resources, to invest in more efficient water and energy use, to share new ways to adapt to climate change and to pursue truly multilateral action on climate change. Ultimately, climate change presents an even more serious challenge than it would otherwise. 2. The report shows that climate change itself poses real security concerns to the region.
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It may increase competition for scarce water resources, complicating peace agreements. It may intensify food insecurity, thereby raising the stakes for the return or retention of occupied land. It may hinder economic growth, worsening poverty and social instability.
It could lead to destabilizing forced migration, increased tensions over refugee populations, the increased militarization of strategic natural resources and growing resentment and distrust of the West. 3. Nevertheless, the report points out there is much that national governments and authorities, civil society and the international community can do address the challenge of climate change, and in so doing, address some of the threats it may pose to regional peace and security.
They can promote a culture of conservation in the region, help communities and countries adapt to the impacts of climate change, work to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and foster greater cooperation on their shared resources.
Links
Where it is published
- DOI doi.org/10.25446/oxford.33352533.v1 ↗
DOI / persistent id · from zivahub uct ac za
Catalogue records · 1
- OAI-PMH record api.figshare.com/v2/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai%3Af… ↗
metadata API · from zivahub uct ac za
Topics
Provenance · 3 source records, 16 field assertions
| Source | Key | Last seen | Raw |
|---|---|---|---|
| ZivaHub | oai:figshare.com:article/33352533 | 10 d ago | JSON v1 |
| Deakin Research Online | oai:figshare.com:article/33352533 | 10 d ago | JSON v1 |
| DMU Figshare | oai:figshare.com:article/33352533 | 10 d ago | JSON v1 |
| Field | Assertion | Extractor | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| concepts[field].anzsrc:field:480704 | mapping · dro deakin edu au | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['Migration, asylum and refugee law'] |
| concepts[field].anzsrc:field:480704 | mapping · figshare dmu ac uk | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['Migration, asylum and refugee law'] |
| concepts[field].anzsrc:field:480704 | mapping · zivahub uct ac za | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['Migration, asylum and refugee law'] |
| concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmental | mapping · dro deakin edu au | connector:dro_deakin_edu_au@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmental | mapping · figshare dmu ac uk | connector:figshare_dmu_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmental | mapping · zivahub uct ac za | connector:zivahub_uct_ac_za@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:social-science | mapping · zivahub uct ac za | connector:zivahub_uct_ac_za@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:social-science | mapping · figshare dmu ac uk | connector:figshare_dmu_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:social-science | mapping · dro deakin edu au | connector:dro_deakin_edu_au@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[subject].local:topic:climate | mapping · figshare dmu ac uk | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['CLIMATE'] |
| concepts[subject].local:topic:climate | mapping · zivahub uct ac za | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['CLIMATE'] |
| concepts[subject].local:topic:climate | mapping · dro deakin edu au | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['CLIMATE'] |
| description | source · zivahub uct ac za | connector:zivahub_uct_ac_za@1.0.0 | /metadata/dc/description |
| license_text | source · zivahub uct ac za | connector:zivahub_uct_ac_za@1.0.0 | |
| publication_date | source · zivahub uct ac za | connector:zivahub_uct_ac_za@1.0.0 | |
| title | source · zivahub uct ac za | connector:zivahub_uct_ac_za@1.0.0 | /metadata/dc/title |