Inverse estimates of anthropogenic CO₂ uptake, transport, and storage by the ocean

In order to quantify the uncertainty associated with the estimated fluxes owing to modeled transport and errors in the data, we employ 10 OGCMs and three scenarios representing biases in the data-based anthropogenic CO2 estimates.

On the basis of the prescribed anthropogenic CO2 storage, we find a global uptake of 2.2 +/- 0.25 Pg C yr(-1), scaled to 1995. This error estimate represents the standard deviation of the models weighted by a CFC-based model skill score, which reduces the error range and emphasizes those models that have been shown to reproduce observed tracer concentrations most accurately. The greatest anthropogenic CO2 uptake occurs in the Southern Ocean and in the tropics.