Modeling of non-stationary autoregressive alpha-stable processe

To represent their temporal dependencies, usually autoregressive models with time-invariant coefficients are utilized. We propose a general sequential Bayesian modeling methodology where both unknown autoregressive coefficients and distribution parameters can be estimated successfully, even when they are time-varying.

In contrast to most work in the literature on signal processing with alpha-stable distributions, our work is general and models also skewed alpha-stable processes. Successful performance of our method is demonstrated by computer simulations. We support our empirical results by providing posterior Cramer–Rao lower bounds.