Data · dataset · 2025
Assessing Domestic Forest Capacity for Cross-Laminated Timber in Korean Urban Housing: A Resource Adequacy Framework (2025–2052)
Listed in Teesside University Research Data Repository
RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS: This study tests whether Korea's domestic forests can adequately support cross-laminated timber (CLT) adoption in apartment construction through 2050, given constraints from forest accessibility, sustainability requirements, and processing capacity.
Description
WHAT THE DATA SHOWS: 26-year projections (2025-2050) of CLT demand and supply for Korean apartment construction under multiple scenarios. Key findings: (1) Annual apartment demand of 200-460k units driven by replacement cycles despite demographic decline; (2) CLT requirements of 0.32-4.39 million m³/year under three adoption scenarios (15%/35%/50% ceilings); (3) Domestic supply potential of 0.26-0.93 million m³/year; (4) Self-sufficiency ranging from 18% (accelerated adoption) to 110% (conservative adoption); (5) Cumulative carbon mitigation of 31-187 Mt CO₂ by 2050.
NOTABLE FINDINGS: Forest accessibility is the most restrictive constraint, reducing theoretical harvest from 16.4 million m³/year to <1 million m³/year. Moderate adoption (35% ceiling) achieves 37% self-sufficiency with 93.5 Mt CO₂ mitigation. Import dependence is inevitable for medium-to-high adoption pathways.
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DATA CONTENTS: Five primary tables with annual values (2025-2050): - Table A1: CLT demand by adoption scenario (Conservative/Moderate/Accelerated) - Table A2: CLT supply under resource constraints (Low/Medium/High) - Table A3: Self-sufficiency ratios (supply/demand) - Table B1: Annual carbon mitigation - Table B2: Cumulative carbon benefits HOW DATA WAS GATHERED: Demand: Based on Statistics Korea (2023) demographic projections and 35-year apartment replacement cycles.
CLT volumes calculated from 105 m² average floor area × 0.15 m³/m² structural intensity. Supply: Sequential constraints applied to Korea Forest Service (2023) national forest inventory: species suitability (69%), age-class (77%), sustainability (80% of increment), accessibility (12.5%→18.5%), processing efficiency (30%→38%). Adoption scenarios: Logistic S-curves converging to policy-realistic ceilings by late 2030s, consistent with international CLT diffusion patterns.
Carbon: Biogenic storage (0.9 tCO₂/m³) + substitution effects (1.5 tCO₂/m³) from Korean species studies and international LCA. HOW TO INTERPRET: Units: Volume (m³), Carbon (tCO₂), Percentages (%). Self-sufficiency >100% = surplus, <100% = import required.
All projections use 2025 baseline. Results support scenario planning for import strategies, forest management priorities, and adoption incentives. REPLICATION & EXTENSION: Framework transferable to other countries with aging forests and apartment-dominated housing.
Parameters adjustable for alternative demographic/policy scenarios. Enables cross-country comparisons of resource adequacy. DATA SOURCES: Statistics Korea (2023) Population Projections; Korea Forest Service (2023) Statistical Yearbook; Land and Housing Research Institute (2025) Housing Demand Analysis; MOLIT (2023) Housing Statistics; Author calculations.
Links
Where it is published
- DOI doi.org/10.17632/sc3bb2ptky.1 ↗
DOI / persistent id · from researchdata tees ac uk
Catalogue records · 1
- OAI-PMH record data.mendeley.com/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai%3Adata… ↗
metadata API · from researchdata tees ac uk
Topics
- From keywords
- Architecture · Earth & Environmental Science · Engineering · Humanities · Life Sciences · Social Science
- Inferred from text
- Tabular 65%
Provenance · 1 source records, 12 field assertions
| Source | Key | Last seen | Raw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teesside University Research Data Repository | oai:data.mendeley.com/sc3bb2ptky.1 | 8 d ago | JSON v1 |
| Field | Assertion | Extractor | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| access_level | source · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].anzsrc:group:3301 | mapping · researchdata tees ac uk | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['Architecture'] |
| concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmental | mapping · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:engineering | mapping · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:humanities | mapping · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:life-sciences | mapping · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:social-science | mapping · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[modality].local:modality:tabular | enrichment · researchdata tees ac uk | keyword-concept-rules@1.0.0 | title+description (65%) |
| description | source · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | /metadata/dc/description |
| license | source · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | /metadata/dc/rights |
| publication_date | source · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| title | source · researchdata tees ac uk | connector:researchdata_tees_ac_uk@1.0.0 | /metadata/dc/title |