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Data · dataset · 2017

Vote shares Union-FDP (German Election 2017)

Listed in DataCite

These are vote shares of Union-FDP, calculated based on a pooled survey (at each date pooled sample was calculated based on aggregation of polls from different German pollsters).

Description

For each date this data set provides a subset of 500 simulations from a Dirichlet distribution, which is the (Bayesian) Posterior distribution of a Multinomial Likelihood (pooled survey) and a uninformative (flat) Dirichlet-Prior. Each simulation provides a possible election outcome.

The vote shares provided here are based on "redistributed votes" (i.e. votes of parties below 5% threshold are redistributed proportionally to parties above the 5% threshold).

Links

Topics

Stated by source
Mathematics · Political science
Inferred from text
Simulation 75%

Related

Provenance · 1 source records, 12 field assertions
SourceKeyLast seenRaw
DataCite10.6084/m9.figshare.543193011 d agoJSON v1
FieldAssertionExtractorEvidence
access_levelsource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0/data/attributes/rightsList
byte_sizesource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0
concepts[field].fos:mathematicssource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0
concepts[field].fos:political-sciencesource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0
concepts[field].local:field:mathematics-statisticsmapping · DataCitevocabulary-mapper@1.0.0keywords['Statistics']
concepts[method].local:method:simulationenrichment · DataCitekeyword-concept-rules@1.0.0title+description (75%)
created_datesource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0
descriptionsource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0/data/attributes/descriptions
licensesource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0/data/attributes/rightsList
publication_datesource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0/data/attributes/dates
titlesource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0/data/attributes/titles/0/title
updated_datesource · DataCiteconnector:datacite@1.0.0