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Table · dataset · 2025

The Manticore Project I, Local clusters

Listed in IVOA Registry (Virtual Observatory)

We present the first results from the Manticore Project, dubbed Manticore-Local, a suite of Bayesian constrained simulations of the nearby Universe, generated by fitting a physical structure formation model to the 2M++ galaxy catalogue using the borg algorithm.

Description

This field-level inference yields physically consistent realizations of cosmic structure, leveraging a non-linear gravitational solver, a refined galaxy bias model, and physics-informed priors.

The Manticore-Local posterior realizations evolve within a parent cosmological volume statistically consistent with Lambda-cold dark matter, demonstrated through extensive posterior predictive tests of power spectra, bispectra, initial condition Gaussianity, and the halo mass function. The inferred local supervolume (R<200Mpc, or z<~0.05) shows no significant deviation from cosmological expectations; notably, we find no evidence for a large local underdensity, with the mean density suppressed by only ~5% relative to the cosmic mean.

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Our model identifies high-significance counterparts for 14 prominent galaxy clusters - including Virgo, Coma, and Perseus - each within 1deg of its observed sky position. Across the posterior ensemble, these counterparts are consistently detected with 2{sigma}-4{sigma} significance, and their reconstructed masses and redshifts agree closely with observational estimates, confirming the inference's spatial and dynamical fidelity.

The peculiar velocity field recovered by Manticore-Local achieves the highest Bayesian evidence across five independent data sets, surpassing state-of-the-art non-linear models, linear theory, Wiener filtering, and machine learning approaches. Unlike methods yielding only point estimates or using simplified dynamics, Manticore-Local provides a full Bayesian posterior over cosmic structure and evolution, enabling rigorous uncertainty quantification.

These results establish Manticore-Local as the most advanced constrained realization suite of the local Universe to date, offering a robust statistical foundation for future studies of galaxy formation, velocity flows, and environmental dependencies in our cosmic neighbourhood.

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Catalogue records · 2

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Provenance · 1 source records, 7 field assertions
SourceKeyLast seenRaw
IVOA Registry (Virtual Observatory)ivo://cds.vizier/j/mnras/540/71613 d agoJSON v1
FieldAssertionExtractorEvidence
access_levelsource · IVOA Registryconnector:ivoa_registry@1.0.0
concepts[field].local:field:astronomymapping · IVOA Registryconnector:ivoa_registry@1.0.0
descriptionsource · IVOA Registryconnector:ivoa_registry@1.0.0rr.resource.res_description
license_textsource · IVOA Registryconnector:ivoa_registry@1.0.0
publication_datesource · IVOA Registryconnector:ivoa_registry@1.0.0
titlesource · IVOA Registryconnector:ivoa_registry@1.0.0rr.resource.res_title
updated_datesource · IVOA Registryconnector:ivoa_registry@1.0.0