Early warning of low execution in Peruvian public investment projects: project-year panel dataset, 2015–2025

It contains a project-year panel of 539,871 observations covering all Peruvian public investment projects with a modified budget (PIM > 0) between 2015 and 2025, across national, regional and local governments.</p><p dir="ltr">Unit of analysis: investment project (CUI) by budget year t.</p><p dir="ltr">Target variable: annual execution rate in year t (accrued expenditure / PIM), with binary low-execution indicators at 40%, 50% and 60% thresholds for sensitivity analysis.</p><p dir="ltr">Predictors: only information available at the start of year t, to prevent data leakage.

They include the opening budget (PIA) of year t and its financing sources; the project's budget, expenditure and execution rate in t-1; accumulated execution up to t-1; financial progress relative to the viable amount; the executing unit's execution rate and portfolio size in t-1; and fixed project attributes (government level, sector, function, location, viable amount, viability year, investment type, modality and typology).