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Table · dataset · 2026

Higher-order likelihood-based inference for Weibull models

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<p>Weibull models are a central tool for reliability assessment, where engineers often need accurate confidence intervals for shape, scale and low lifetime quantiles under small samples, censoring and accelerated life testing.

Description

Standard likelihood-based intervals rely only on first-order asymptotics and can show substantial undercoverage, while existing refined methods are either tabulated for very specific settings or difficult to extend to more complex designs.

We develop a unified higher-order likelihood framework for interval estimation in Weibull and log-Weibull models that treats any scalar parameter or reliability characteristic, including use-stress quantiles in accelerated tests, as the parameter of interest. Using the modified signed likelihood root together with an analytically constructed canonical parameter, we obtain simple closed-form adjustment factors that require no external tables and are valid for complete data, Type II censoring and accelerated life testing with log-linear scale models.

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Simulation studies across a wide range of shapes, sample sizes and designs show that the proposed intervals achieve coverage very close to the nominal level. A case study on breakdown times of an insulating fluid under accelerated testing illustrates the practical gains in estimating low use-stress quantiles.</p>

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