Welfare Changes from Agricultural Yield Shocks for 1-3 Degrees of Global Warming (Meta-Analysis)

Three values are given for each level of warming - the central estimate (50th percentile) and the upper (97.5th percentile) and lower (2.5th percentile) bounds of the 95% confidence interval. The column "VOM" gives the total value of the shocked sectors for that region, used to normalize the welfare changes to give % change, as reported in Moore et al (in press).

Welfare changes are equivalent variation and are based on yield shocks derived from a meta-analysis from the yield impacts database reported in Challinor et al. (2014). Gridded yield shocks used as input for the simulation are available at 10.6084/m9.figshare.5417548 Moore, F. C., Baldos, U., Hertel, T. W. & Diaz, D. New Science of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture Implies Higher Social Cost of Carbon. Nat.