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Table · dataset · 2026

Table 1_When suppressor effects may reflect multicollinearity artifacts: a cautionary tale from multiple object tracking and clay pigeon shooting performance.docx

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Objective<p>To evaluate whether multiple object tracking (MOT) predicts clay pigeon shooting performance, and to illustrate how multicollinearity between demographic covariates can mimic suppressor effects.</p>Methods<p>Twenty shooters completed a MOT task (2–6 targets).

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Zero-order and partial correlations, hierarchical regression, LOOCV, VIF diagnostics, and power analysis were computed. Two specifications were compared: Specification A (age + training years, multicollinear) and Specification B (age only, VIF < 2.5).</p>Results<p>Age and training years were near-perfectly correlated (r = 0.928).

Under Specification A r=0.928;VIF=11.7, MOT-5 and MOT-6 appeared as nominally significant partial correlates (r_partial ≈ 0.49, p < 0.03, uncorrected), a classical suppression pattern. Under Specification B, these effects attenuated to non-significance (p > 0.13). The training coefficient reversed sign (B = −2.12 despite r = +0.65), consistent with multicollinearity distortion.

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Power analysis indicated N ≈ 68 would be required to detect the residual effect (f<sup>2</sup> = 0.15), though this estimate is illustrative given the small sample. AUC=0.660f2=0.12.</p>Conclusion<p>The apparent suppressor effect is consistent with multicollinearity between age and training years rather than genuine prediction, though the small sample (N = 20) precludes definitive conclusions. Routine VIF, bootstrap stability checks, and power analysis are recommended to avoid artifacts in small-sample sports cognition research.</p>

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